AC Milan → Tottenham Hotspur · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    2 Jul
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Rafael Leao is OPEN to joining Tottenham this summer 🇵🇹🔥 Spurs have serious interest in the AC Milan winger 👀 @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/4nR9qhV4e7

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    Tottenham hold serious interest in Leao, and new Milan manager Ruben Amorim is prepared to sell him this summer https://t.co/9IjNrZRO4Q

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

Rafael Leao ready to join Tottenham Hotspur, claims the Italian media #thfc 🔥 https://t.co/TF0MZEUki7

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    Tottenham now interested in AC Milan winger Rafael Leao #THFC https://t.co/xxMz7Z6Si1

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴⚫️🇵🇹 Man Utd have made their decision on hijacking the signing of Rafael Leao who has said yes to Tottenham #MUFC Link 👇 https://t.co/jgzj6lbnhk

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.