Real Madrid → Liverpool · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 10% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    24 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

‼️ Liverpool reported to have approached Real Madrid over possible move for Eduardo Camavinga amid claims Jose Mourinho has decided to sanction his sale. FSG have also been encouraged by a significant valuation drop over the France international https://t.co/K9N0YcZOLD #LFC

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🗞️ There are conflicting reports on whether Eduardo Camavinga wants to leave Real Madrid for Liverpool 👇 #RMCF #LFC https://t.co/qB3zPkmMOl

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 10% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail