Arsenal → Real Madrid · Summer 2026
It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
- Rumoured—
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
What was actually said
4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo agoSaid to be cooling
Cooling2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@FabrizioRomano had it first, 3mo ago1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗
🚨 During meeting at Real Madrid with José Mourinho defenders were also discussed. Josko Gvardiol high on list and was never a possibility for Bayern — but #MCFC offered him new deal with salary rise last week. Calafiori deal not advanced so far. 🎥➕ https://t.co/VIi52EQcdf https://t.co/LWdtaTiPJl
Why it read 11% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.