TransferHype
Winter 2027

Riccardo Calafiori

DF

Arsenal → Real Madrid · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
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  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

Arsenal have set a mammoth price on Riccardo Calafiori amid interest from Real Madrid, according to a report, which has revealed the defender’s stance on leaving the Emirates Stadium in the summer transfer window. https://t.co/FNZJqKD5UE

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    Real Madrid have decided on Man City star Josko Gvardiol as their TOP defensive target 🔥 The LaLiga giants are also admirers of Arsenal's Riccardo Calafiori and Chelsea's Levi Colwill... @GraemeBailey | #RMCF #MCFC #AFC #CFC https://t.co/MrW4q9igdI

Said to be cooling

Cooling2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@FabrizioRomano had it first, 5mo ago

Real Madrid are not planning to bid for Arsenal defender Riccardo Calafiori #RMCF #AFC https://t.co/rSFpudAjq4

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano5mo ago ↗

    🚨 During meeting at Real Madrid with José Mourinho defenders were also discussed. Josko Gvardiol high on list and was never a possibility for Bayern — but #MCFC offered him new deal with salary rise last week. Calafiori deal not advanced so far. 🎥➕ https://t.co/VIi52EQcdf https://t.co/LWdtaTiPJl

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.