Real Madrid → Arsenal · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 11% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Arsenal are considering making a bid for Arda Güler, but Real Madrid will likely not entertain any offers https://t.co/jpjdFLXtWG

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug2 Sept
45 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail