Manchester United → Bayern Munich · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 9% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    10 Jun
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🔴 Bayern Munich are serious about signing Marcus Rashford from Man Utd #MUFC #FCBayern https://t.co/zruMyOEnMw

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

❗️🇩🇪 Bayern Munich are ready to OVERPAY for Marcus Rashford after missing out on Anthony Gordon and Rio Ngumoha, but there's two issues that must be solved before Man Utd can bank the bigger fee #MUFC Full details 👇 https://t.co/EqND60rRWy

claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    🇩🇪 Bayern Munich hopeful of securing Marcus Rashford agreement after learning Man Utd price demands. But as @FrazFletcher writes, any deal will first need two personal sacrifices from the player https://t.co/YG8spXTDA0 #MUFC #FCBayern #transfers

  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    🇩🇪 Marcus Rashford must agree to two personal sacrifices before securing any transfer Bayern Munich, as hopes grow that a deal can be arranged. Man Utd's asking price can also be revealed... @FrazFletcher #MUFC #FCBayern https://t.co/YG8spXTDA0 #MUFC #FCBayern

Why it read 9% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.