Manchester United → Parma · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Jul
  2. Talks
    27 Jul
  3. Agreement
    27 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Confermato: affare fatto. Diallo domani sarà a Parma https://t.co/nDx4OG8Rgl

claims Donename shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −11 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
43 recomputations▼ 8 points over the trail
  1. −112mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting