Manchester United F.C.Parma Calcio 1913 · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 12% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    27 Jul
  2. Talks
    27 Jul
  3. Agreement
    27 Jul
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims Donename shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+15
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 21%29 Aug: 10%29 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 10%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%31 Aug: 13%1 Sept: 13%1 Sept: 13%2 Sept: 12%29 Aug: −11 points, with no new post30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
43 recomputations 8 points over the trail
  1. 1118d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving