TransferHype
Winter 2027

Mads Pedersen

DF

Augsburg → Hertha BSC · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    23 Aug
  2. Talks
    23 Aug
  3. Agreement
    23 Aug
  4. Medical
    23 Aug
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Mads Pedersen to Hertha BSC - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with FC Augsburg following BILD. €150k transfer fee agreed for the 29 y/o left-back. Medical scheduled for Monday. @SkySportDE 🇩🇰 https://t.co/TKWFaWDihG

claims Medical+3 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 25% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+23
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 76% faded
+3
Completion probability
25%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −59 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +16 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 51 points over the trail
  1. −592mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +162mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting