SK Sturm Graz → Minnesota United · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    21 Aug
  2. Talks
    21 Aug
  3. Agreement
    21 Aug
  4. Medical
    21 Aug
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Maurice Malone to Minnesota United FC - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Sturm Graz for the 26 y/o striker. Deal pending medical in the USA and contract signing until 2030. @SkySportDE 🇩🇪🇺🇸 https://t.co/Wt28yBPXCT

claims Medical+2 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 24% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+22
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 82% faded
+2
Completion probability
24%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −53 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +14 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 46 points over the trail
  1. −532mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +142mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting