1. FSV Mainz 051. FC Nürnberg · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 23d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    27 Aug
  3. Agreement
    27 Aug
  4. Medical
    27 Aug
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Why it read 30% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+25
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 58% faded
+5
Completion probability
30%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 89%29 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 22%30 Aug: 22%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 21%30 Aug: 42%30 Aug: 42%30 Aug: 42%30 Aug: 42%30 Aug: 42%30 Aug: 41%30 Aug: 41%31 Aug: 41%31 Aug: 41%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 35%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%31 Aug: 34%1 Sept: 32%1 Sept: 32%2 Sept: 30%29 Aug: −68 points, with no new post30 Aug: +21 points, with no new post31 Aug: −6 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations 59 points over the trail
  1. 6821d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +2120d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving