1. FSV Mainz 05 → 1. FC Nürnberg · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    27 Aug
  2. Talks
    27 Aug
  3. Agreement
    27 Aug
  4. Medical
    27 Aug
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | William Bøving to 1. FC Nürnberg - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with FSV Mainz 05 for a one-year loan without a buy option. w/ @_dennisbayer Last details to complete the deal for 23 y/o striker. Medical scheduled for Friday. @SkySportDE 🇩🇰 https://t.co/rZTzJVAKg1

claims Medical+5 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 30% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+25
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 58% faded
+5
Completion probability
30%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −68 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +21 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 59 points over the trail
  1. −682mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +212mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting