Mantova 1911AS Livorno Calcio · Free · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    4 Aug
  2. Talks
    4 Aug
  3. Agreement
    4 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    4 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itMattia Aramu transfer to Livorno completed

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 16% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+16
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
16%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 34%29 Aug: 12%29 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 12%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%30 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%31 Aug: 17%1 Sept: 17%1 Sept: 17%2 Sept: 16%29 Aug: −22 points, with no new post30 Aug: +5 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations 18 points over the trail
  1. 2221d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving