TransferHype
Winter 2027

Thiago Almada

MF

Atlético Madrid → Flamengo RJ · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 14% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    20 Jul
  2. Talks
    24 Jul
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 20 Julfirst@MatteMoretto: esFlamengo pursuing Thiago Almada
  2. 24 JulReached Talks
  3. 2 AugReached Agreement

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

esFlamengo has an almost-closed agreement with Atlético de Madrid for Thiago Almada

La pugna entre Flamengo y River por Thiago Almada entra en su fase final. El club brasileño tiene un acuerdo casi cerrado con el Atlético de Madrid, pero River está en conversaciones muy avanzadas con el jugador, quien prioriza su regreso a Argentina. Por el momento, no se ha

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esThiago Almada very close to Flamengo, negotiations with Atlético falling apart

Thiago Almada está muy cerca del Flamengo. La negociación con el Atlético, al caer.

claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

esFlamengo pursuing Thiago Almada

El Flamengo, a por Thiago Almada. https://t.co/1b9cQtnTj6

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+16
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail
  1. −72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting