FeyenoordVfL Wolfsburg · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    14 Jul
  2. Talks
    14 Jul
  3. Agreement
    14 Jul
  4. Medical
    14 Jul
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 14 Julfirst@MatteMoretto: esTimon Wellenreuther very close to Wolfsburg
  2. 14 JulReached Agreement
  3. 14 JulReached Medical
  4. 14 JulJoined by @Plettigoal

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esTimon Wellenreuther very close to Wolfsburg

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 20%29 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%30 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%31 Aug: 14%1 Sept: 14%1 Sept: 14%2 Sept: 14%29 Aug: −6 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations 6 points over the trail
  1. 619d agono new post; decay or a rival moving