Zenit St. Petersburg → Roma · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 34% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 29 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: AS Roma in direct contact with Zenit St Petersburg to sign Brazilian winger Luiz Henrique with talks ongoing
  2. 30 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 31 AugCooling@FabrizioRomano: Move to AS Roma not progressing despite verbal agreement since Sunday evening; Roma prioritising other targets

What was actually said

5 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing4 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🟡🔴 AS Roma are in direct club to club contact with Zenit St Petersburg to sign Luiz Henrique as new winger. Roma have been offered the Brazilian winger and now asking for deal conditions with talks ongoing. https://t.co/WPSKKdd6HN

claims Talks+10 pointsView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗+2

    itAS Roma have made an offer to Zenit for winger Luiz Henrique

    Due tavoli per l'ala della @OfficialASRoma: i giallorossi non mollano Leweling del @VFB e hanno fatto offerta allo Zenit per Luiz Henrique. @SkySport https://t.co/nh157Qflcl

  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    itLuiz Henrique from FC Zenit increasingly close to AS Roma, who are working to finalize the deal following progress reported today

    Luiz Henrique dello @fczenit_en sempre più vicino alla @OfficialASRoma, giallorossi a lavoro per stringere e chiudere dopo i progressi raccontati oggi @SkySport

  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    itAS Roma continuing work on Luiz Henrique as alternative option

    La @OfficialASRoma ancora su due tavoli: nuovi contatti per Leweling, si continua a lavorare per l'esterno del @VfB_int. Parallelamente resta Luiz Henrique come raccontato ieri @SkySport

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨⚠️ Luiz Henrique’s move to AS Roma is not progressing despite verbal agreement in place since Sunday evening. AS Roma are prioritising different targets as of today, including Stuttart’s Jamie Leweling. https://t.co/vFYaGBawgl

claims Talks−6 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 34% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 46% faded
+10
Fabrizio Romano coolingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
−6
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
34%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +8 points, after @DiMarzio31 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: −12 points, after @DiMarzio, @FabrizioRomano29 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 16 points over the trail
  1. −122mo ago@DiMarzio: AS Roma continuing work on Luiz Henrique as alternative option · @FabrizioRomano: Move to AS Roma not progressing despite verbal agreement since Sunday evening; Roma prioritising other targets
  2. +82mo ago@DiMarzio: AS Roma have made an offer to Zenit for winger Luiz Henrique
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting