Chelsea → Notts County · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    11 Aug
  2. Talks
    11 Aug
  3. Agreement
    11 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    11 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Ishe Samuels-Smith has joined Notts County on a season-long loan from Chelsea.🤝 https://t.co/M4kusVE32f

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −32 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +7 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 26 points over the trail
  1. −322mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +72mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting