Newcastle1. FC Kaiserslautern · Loan · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 1mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    11 Aug
  2. Talks
    11 Aug
  3. Agreement
    11 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    11 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Why it read 18% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+18
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
18%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 44%29 Aug: 13%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%30 Aug: 20%31 Aug: 20%31 Aug: 20%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%31 Aug: 19%1 Sept: 19%1 Sept: 19%2 Sept: 18%29 Aug: −31 points, with no new post30 Aug: +7 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations 26 points over the trail
  1. 3120d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +719d agono new post; decay or a rival moving