Birmingham City → LA Galaxy · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 4mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    21 Jul
  2. Talks
    21 Jul
  3. Agreement
    21 Jul
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    21 Jul

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

LA Galaxy confirm Kyōgo Furuhashi has joined from Birmingham City on a five-year contract.✍️ https://t.co/7AHSt0zZ99

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −11 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −112mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting