TSG 1899 Hoffenheim → VfL Wolfsburg · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 4mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    14 Jul
  2. Talks
    22 Jul
  3. Agreement
    22 Jul
  4. Medical
    22 Jul
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 14 Julfirst@Plettigoal: VfL Wolfsburg are also in the race to sign Muhammed Damar from TSG Hoffenheim, who are demanding up to €6m.
  2. 22 JulReached Agreement
  3. 22 JulReached Medical
  4. 22 JulReached Talks

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Muhammed Damar to VfL Wolfsburg - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with TSG Hoffenheim. The medical is planned within the next 72 hours. Transfer fee: €6 million, including bonuses, plus a sell-on clause. €5m almost guaranteed. Last details to be clarified about https://t.co/Hoq6oA7XfS

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨EXCL | SC Braga have entered the race to sign Muhammed Damar. VfL Wolfsburg are also in the race for the 22 y/o attacking midfielder. TSG Hoffenheim are demanding up to €6m. @SkySportDE 🇩🇪 https://t.co/pxETRfjPtf

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 13% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
13%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −11 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 8 points over the trail
  1. −112mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting