St. Pauli → VfL Wolfsburg · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 5mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    19 Jun
  2. Talks
    19 Jun
  3. Agreement
    19 Jun
  4. Medical
    19 Jun
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Hauke Wahl to VfL Wolfsburg - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement with FC St. Pauli now reached. Transfer fee for the 32 y/o centre-back: more than €2m with add-ons included. Contract until 2029 + 1. Medical currently being scheduled. Negotiations were already at an advanced https://t.co/2j18ZsFDpE

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
37 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail