AC Monza → Raków Częstochowa · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 3mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    16 Aug
  2. Talks
    16 Aug
  3. Agreement
    16 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    16 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itArvid Brorsson transfers permanently from AC Monza to Rakow1921, agreement reached

Il @ACMonza cede Arvid Brorsson al @Rakow1921 a titolo definitivo: accordo raggiunto https://t.co/qRvUbx3gwa

claims Done+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 19% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+20
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, 91% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
Completion probability
19%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: −32 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +9 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
35 recomputations▼ 25 points over the trail
  1. −322mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +92mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting