Bayern Munich → 1. FC Nürnberg · Free · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 4mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    11 Jun
  2. Talks
    11 Jun
  3. Agreement
    11 Jun
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    11 Jun

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Sigurd Haugen to 1. FC Nürnberg - DONE DEAL ✔️ The 28 y/o striker joins on a free transfer following the enforced relegation of 1860 Munich. Medical completed. Contract until 2029 after @BILD_FCN. Announcement soon. @SkySportDE 🇳🇴 https://t.co/lGdbRmpHRE

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 12% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
12%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug29 Aug2 Sept
35 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail