Manchester United F.C.RC Celta de Vigo · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 1mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    5 Aug
  2. Talks
    5 Aug
  3. Agreement
    5 Aug
  4. Medical
    5 Aug
  5. Done
    7 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 5 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Loan move with €4m buy option, fee subject to changes based on appearances; authorized for medical and contract signing
  2. 5 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
  3. 7 AugReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo agono effect

    🚨🔵⚪️ Celta Vigo have agreed deal with Man United to sign Altay Bayindir as new goalkeeper, here we go! 🇹🇷 Understand it’s a loan move with €4m buy option, fee subject to changes based on appearances. Bayindir, authorized to travel for medical and contract signing by #MUFC. https://t.co/zlBYl7hVsE

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo agono effect

    🚨🔴⚪️ GKs exits at Man United today as Bayindir joins Celta Vigo… and Radek Vitek joins Middlesbrough on permanent deal. Green light for medical; £7m fee plus add-ons up to potential £14m package. #MUFC also mantain 35% sell-on clause and buy back for the GK. https://t.co/I0ClUwjlO1

Reported as done

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 26% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+25
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
26%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 39%29 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 13%30 Aug: 29%30 Aug: 29%30 Aug: 29%30 Aug: 29%30 Aug: 29%30 Aug: 29%30 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 29%31 Aug: 28%31 Aug: 28%31 Aug: 28%31 Aug: 28%31 Aug: 28%31 Aug: 28%1 Sept: 27%1 Sept: 27%2 Sept: 26%29 Aug: −26 points, with no new post30 Aug: +16 points, with no new post29 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
33 recomputations 13 points over the trail
  1. 2620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +1619d agono new post; decay or a rival moving