TransferHype
Winter 2027

Conrad Harder

FW

RB Leipzig → Strasbourg Alsace · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 2mo ago
66%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    30 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@MatteMoretto: esConrad Harder has chosen Estrasburgo despite Sevilla's interest
  2. 30 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  3. 1 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esConrad Harder has chosen Estrasburgo despite Sevilla's interest

Conrad Harder se ha decantado por el Estrasburgo a pesar del gran interés del Sevilla. https://t.co/zHf7uyO6an

claims Done+2 pointsView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @MatteMoretto2mo ago ↗

    esConrad Harder joins Estrasburgo on loan without option to buy

    Conrad Harder se va al Estrasburgo cedido sin opción de compra.

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨🔵⚪️ Conrad Harder deal with RC Strasbourg has been completed. Loan deal from RB Leipzig, all set to be announced. https://t.co/FgdxcCtqEK

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Conrad Harder to RC Strasbourg - DONE DEAL ✔️ Verbal agreement has now been reached with RB Leipzig for the 21 y/o striker. One final point is still being clarified: whether the loan deal will include a purchase option or be a straight loan. Final details and paperwork to https://t.co/2Y3Zu5bg9N

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 66% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+96
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+2
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−32
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
66%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: +17 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: +18 points, after @Plettigoal1 Sept: +12 points, after @FabrizioRomano30 Aug31 Aug1 Sept
22 recomputations▲ 45 points over the trail
  1. +182mo ago@Plettigoal: Verbal agreement reached for Conrad Harder to join RC Strasbourg on loan from RB Leipzig; purchase option details still being clarified.
  2. +172mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. +122mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Conrad Harder loan deal from RB Leipzig to RC Strasbourg completed.