K.R.C. GenkHamburger SV · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 21d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Hamburger SV in parallel negotiations with Zakaria El Ouahdi from KRC Genk
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 41% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+8
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Plettigoal neutralBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
+1
Completion probability
41%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 68%30 Aug: 67%30 Aug: 67%30 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 52%31 Aug: 52%31 Aug: 50%31 Aug: 50%31 Aug: 48%31 Aug: 48%1 Sept: 45%1 Sept: 45%2 Sept: 41%31 Aug: −15 points, with no new post1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post30 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
24 recomputations 27 points over the trail
  1. 1520d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 417d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 318d agono new post; decay or a rival moving