K.R.C. Genk → Hamburger SV · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Hamburger SV in parallel negotiations with Zakaria El Ouahdi from KRC Genk
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugReached Medical

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Zakaria El Ouahdi to Hamburger SV - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached between #HSV and KRC Genk over a permanent transfer for the 24 y/o right-back, who will sign a long-term contract. Fee: LESS than €10m guaranteed. Medical scheduled for today. ❌ Arthur deal now https://t.co/PpCCrPQ7hf

claims Medical+8 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨⤵️ Advanced negotiations are also ongoing between Hamburger SV and KRC Genk over a permanent deal for Zakaria El Ouahdi. #HSV https://t.co/1L7Hqa5FUl

claims Talks+5 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🔷 Hamburger SV are also in parallel negotiations with Zakaria El Ouahdi from KRC Genk. As of this morning, there is still no agreement with Bayer 04 Leverkusen for Arthur. Talks are ongoing on both fronts. @SkySportDE 🇲🇦 https://t.co/Bw9ffLC5Ce

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 41% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+8
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Florian Plettenberg neutralBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
+1
Completion probability
41%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: −15 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
24 recomputations▼ 27 points over the trail
  1. −152mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting