Middlesbrough → Al-Ettifaq · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    30 Aug

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Al-Ettifaq announce Abdoulaye Kanté has joined from Middlesbrough on a four-year contract. Exclusive story confirmed.✍️ https://t.co/yoDAp36cp3 https://t.co/6tCPfqDxKE

claims Done+8 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨 Exclusive: Abdoulaye Kanté set to join Al-Ettifaq from Middlesbrough. Deal in place worth around £3m for the 21-year-old midfielder to move to Saudi subject to formalities and final details. Boro will retain a sell-on. Contract until 2030 offered.🇨🇮 https://t.co/hkH46rJ5wu

claims Agreement+5 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 41% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+8
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Completion probability
41%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: +26 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: +13 points, after @JacobsBen31 Aug: −11 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
24 recomputations▲ 17 points over the trail
  1. +262mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +132mo ago@JacobsBen: Abdoulaye Kanté joined Al-Ettifaq from Middlesbrough on a four-year contract
  3. −112mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting