Middlesbrough F.C.Al-Ettifaq FC · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedchecked against the public record · 21d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
  5. Done
    30 Aug

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 41% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+8
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Completion probability
41%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 25%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 24%30 Aug: 50%30 Aug: 50%30 Aug: 63%30 Aug: 63%30 Aug: 63%30 Aug: 62%30 Aug: 62%31 Aug: 62%31 Aug: 62%31 Aug: 51%31 Aug: 51%31 Aug: 49%31 Aug: 49%31 Aug: 48%31 Aug: 48%1 Sept: 44%1 Sept: 44%2 Sept: 41%30 Aug: +26 points, with no new post30 Aug: +13 points, with no new post31 Aug: −11 points, with no new post1 Sept: −4 points, with no new post2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post30 Aug30 Aug2 Sept
24 recomputations 17 points over the trail
  1. +2620d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +1320d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 1120d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  4. 418d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  5. 317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving