VfB Stuttgart → Roma · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 20% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@DiMarzio: itAS Roma pursuing VFB's Leweling for winger position
  2. 31 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @Plettigoal
  3. 1 SeptDenial@Plettigoal: Jamie Leweling has rejected an offer from AS Roma

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🚨🛑 Unless something unexpected happens, Jamie Leweling will stay at VfB Stuttgart. The 25 y/o Germany international has rejected all offers, including one from AS Roma. Everton also made a concrete offer late last night, but a stay is now expected. @berger_pj | @SkySportDE 🇩🇪 https://t.co/cgjiCv9jMU

claims Talks−13 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itAS Roma pursuing VFB's Leweling for winger position

Due tavoli per l'ala della @OfficialASRoma: i giallorossi non mollano Leweling del @VFB e hanno fatto offerta allo Zenit per Luiz Henrique. @SkySport https://t.co/nh157Qflcl

claims Talks+3 pointsView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗+1

    itAS Roma in fresh contact with VfB Stuttgart winger Leweling

    La @OfficialASRoma ancora su due tavoli: nuovi contatti per Leweling, si continua a lavorare per l'esterno del @VfB_int. Parallelamente resta Luiz Henrique come raccontato ieri @SkySport

  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    itAS Roma submit new offer of €30m plus €5m in bonuses for Leweling; awaiting player response

    .@OfficialASRoma, nuova offerta allo @VfB_int per Leweling: 30 milioni più 5 bonus. Si attende anche la risposta del giocatore @berger_pj @SkySportDE

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨⚠️ Luiz Henrique’s move to AS Roma is not progressing despite verbal agreement in place since Sunday evening. AS Roma are prioritising different targets as of today, including Stuttart’s Jamie Leweling. https://t.co/vFYaGBawgl

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 20% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Florian Plettenberg denialBroke ittrust 0.55
−13
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+3
Gianluca Di Marzio advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 36%
+1
Fabrizio Romano neutralBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
20%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: +6 points, after @DiMarzio, @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio1 Sept: −28 points, after @Plettigoal30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
23 recomputations▼ 29 points over the trail
  1. −282mo ago@Plettigoal: Jamie Leweling has rejected an offer from AS Roma
  2. +62mo ago@DiMarzio: AS Roma in fresh contact with VfB Stuttgart winger Leweling · @FabrizioRomano: AS Roma prioritising Jamie Leweling as alternative target · @DiMarzio: AS Roma submit new offer of €30m plus €5m in bonuses for Leweling; awaiting player response
  3. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting