ACF FiorentinaWatford F.C. · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 72% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    1 Sept
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Watford agree loan deal with buy option to sign Riccardo Sottil from Fiorentina
  2. 30 AugReached Done
  3. 30 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  4. 1 SeptReached Medical
  5. 1 SeptCooling@DiMarzio: itMove to Watford fell through despite medical completed

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

Reported as done

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

itMove to Watford fell through despite medical completed

JournalistTier 2seeded, not yet measuredclaims MedicalView on X ↗

Why it read 72% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+55
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
DiMarzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Completion probability
72%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: 87%30 Aug: 87%30 Aug: 87%30 Aug: 87%30 Aug: 87%31 Aug: 86%31 Aug: 86%31 Aug: 83%31 Aug: 83%31 Aug: 82%31 Aug: 81%31 Aug: 80%31 Aug: 80%1 Sept: 76%1 Sept: 76%2 Sept: 72%31 Aug: −3 points, with no new post1 Sept: −4 points, after @DiMarzio2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
16 recomputations 15 points over the trail
  1. 415d ago@DiMarzio: Move to Watford fell through despite medical completed
  2. 414d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. 317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving