Burnley → Wrexham · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    31 Aug

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Conor Coady has left Wrexham by mutual consent. Joe Worrall incoming for £2m from Burnley, as exclusively revealed yesterday.🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 https://t.co/r1qbftUD7J

claims Done+10 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨 Exclusive: Wrexham are finalising a deal to sign Joe Worrall. Permanent move. https://t.co/MeuHO7ZNXk

claims Agreement+6 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 35% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+10
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+6
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−8
Completion probability
35%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: +6 points, after @JacobsBen2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
16 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail
  1. +62mo ago@JacobsBen: Joe Worrall joins Wrexham from Burnley for £2m
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting