Roma → Newcastle · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 7% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    —
  2. Talks
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  3. Agreement
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  4. Medical
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  5. Done
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What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

⚫️⚪️ Sources insist Newcastle are NOT in the running for Matias Soule as Sunderland also back away from Argentine winger and Roma make their transfer stance clear @GraemeBailey | #NUFC https://t.co/5maOVtjHRA

claims Rumoured−4 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Newcastle have joined rivals Sunderland in the race for Roma winger Matias Soule after the Black Cats made an approach in July 👀 @GraemeBailey | #NUFC #SAFC https://t.co/kLuDvPgOGs

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why it read 7% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk denialBroke ittrust 0.40
−4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: −5 points, after @TEAMtalk30 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
16 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail
  1. −52mo ago@TEAMtalk: Newcastle are not in the running for Matias Soule