Fenerbahçe IstanbulParma Calcio 1913 · Summer 2026

Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 18d ago
78%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 20d agolast moved 18d ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    30 Aug

What was actually said

4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio18d agono effect

    itDiego Carlos arrival at Parma officially announced

    .@1913parmacalcio, ufficiale l'arrivo di Diego Carlos https://t.co/DoYn4sjZjh

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

itDiego Carlos arrived at Dalla Rosa Prati clinic for medical with Parma

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 36%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Why it read 78% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+98
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−21
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
78%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457530 Aug: 67%30 Aug: 67%30 Aug: 67%30 Aug: 67%30 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 66%31 Aug: 66%31 Aug: 68%31 Aug: 68%31 Aug: 67%31 Aug: 67%1 Sept: 78%1 Sept: +11 points, after @DiMarzio30 Aug31 Aug1 Sept
14 recomputations 10 points over the trail
  1. +1118d ago@DiMarzio: Diego Carlos arrival at Parma officially announced