TransferHype
Winter 2027

Arijon Ibrahimović

MF

Bayern Munich → Augsburg · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    31 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Loan deal with buy option clause agreed, medical scheduled
  2. 31 AugReached Done
  3. 31 AugJoined by @Plettigoal

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨🔴⚪️ EXCLUSIVE: Augsburg agree deal to sign Arijon Ibrahimović from FC Bayern, here we go! Loan deal with buy option clause agreed today, medical in the afternoon. https://t.co/uvleCIqokt

claims Medical+13 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Arijon Ibrahimovic to FC Augsburg – DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement now reached with FC Bayern. Green light given by Eberl/Freund. Loan fee of €500k plus an €8m buy option and a sell-on clause for Bayern. The surprising loan was already planned, as exclusively revealed, https://t.co/M1BoVT4jDy

claims Done+5 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 75% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+56
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Completion probability
75%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
7 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting