TransferHype
Winter 2027

Arijon Ibrahimović

MF

FC Bayern Munich → FC Augsburg · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 18d ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    31 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Loan deal with buy option clause agreed, medical scheduled
  2. 31 AugReached Done
  3. 31 AugJoined by @Plettigoal

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Reported as done

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 75% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+56
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
Plettigoal advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+5
Completion probability
75%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug: 84%31 Aug: 84%31 Aug: 82%31 Aug: 82%1 Sept: 79%1 Sept: 79%2 Sept: 75%1 Sept: −3 points, with no new post2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post31 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
7 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −416d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −317d agono new post; decay or a rival moving