Burnley → Ipswich Town · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    1 Sept
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@JacobsBen: Ipswich Town in advanced talks to sign Zian Flemming from Burnley; player keen on move after informing Burnley he wants to leave
  2. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  3. 1 SeptReached Medical
  4. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨 Zian Flemming to Ipswich all completed in time. Four-year contract. https://t.co/qrCq0YSHaH

claims Done+12 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨 BREAKING: Zian Flemming has undergone his Ipswich medical. Results not back yet. Ipswich now working on formalising the move before the deadline. £17m+£3m fee in place with Burnley. https://t.co/bTvJCMaimg

claims Medical+8 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Ipswich Town are now in advanced talks to sign Zian Flemming. Player keen on the move after informing Burnley last night he wanted to leave. https://t.co/ocZlxzjfBM

claims Talks+4 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 40% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+12
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+8
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
+4
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−12
Completion probability
40%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: +11 points, after @JacobsBen, @JacobsBen2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
7 recomputations▲ 6 points over the trail
  1. +112mo ago@JacobsBen: Zian Flemming undergoing Ipswich medical with £17m+£3m fee agreed with Burnley · @JacobsBen: Zian Flemming to Ipswich completed on a four-year contract
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting