Palmeiras SP → Manchester City · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    31 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨🩵 Official, confirmed. Manchester City sign Allan from Palmeiras in a deal worth more than €40m. Deal done by agent Paulo Pitombeira from Talents Sports agency. 🇧🇷 https://t.co/mhfAT9uMtK

claims Done+13 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 37% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
Completion probability
37%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug31 Aug2 Sept
7 recomputations▼ 7 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting