Fenerbahçe Istanbul → Ajax · Free · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    29 Aug
  2. Talks
    29 Aug
  3. Agreement
    29 Aug
  4. Medical
    29 Aug
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 29 Augfirst@MatteMoretto: esAjax interested in Sofyan Amrabat, who has just terminated his Fenerbahçe contract and is available as a free agent; also has a significant LaLiga offer
  2. 29 AugReached Agreement
  3. 29 AugReached Medical
  4. 29 AugReached Talks

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

esExpected to sign contract with Ajax between tonight and tomorrow

Más detalles sobre Sofyan Amrabat al Ajax. Se espera que entre esta noche y mañana firme el contrato con el conjunto holandés. En los últimos días, un club español, concretamente el Atlético de Madrid, mantuvo un contacto importante por el centrocampista marroquí, pero en las

claims Medical+10 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

esAjax interested in Sofyan Amrabat, who has just terminated his Fenerbahçe contract and is available as a free agent; also has a significant LaLiga offer

Exclusiva: el Ajax quiere a Sofyan Amrabat. El futbolista acaba de rescindir su contrato con el Fenerbahçe y queda libre. El centrocampista marroquí también tiene una oferta muy importante de LaLiga. https://t.co/ZXw8obsHRw

claims Rumoured+2 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 11% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+27
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 44% faded
+10
Matteo Moretto neutralBroke ittrust 0.75, 44% faded, counted at 60%
+2
Contract news at his clubreported by @MatteMoretto — about the player, not this move
−25
Contract news at his clubreported by @MatteMoretto — about the player, not this move
−2
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457531 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail