TransferHype
Winter 2027

Neil El Aynaoui

MF

Roma → RB Leipzig · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@Plettigoal: Loan to RB Leipzig from AS Roma for €4m with €25m option to buy, medical and signing planned soon
  2. 1 SeptReached Done
  3. 1 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🔴⚪️🫱🏻‍🫲🏼 Official and never in doubt: Neil El Aynaoui signs in as new RB Leipzig player from AS Roma. https://t.co/ABcFxzSRnA

claims Done+15 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Neil El Aynaoui to RB Leipzig - DONE DEAL ✔️ Verbal agreement reached with AS Roma last night, following Sky Italia. Loan fee worth €4m, with an option to buy for €25m next summer. Last details between the clubs. Medical and signing are planned soon to complete the deal https://t.co/CTDNBq0luq

claims Medical+4 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 78% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+59
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+15
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+4
Completion probability
78%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: +43 points, after @FabrizioRomano2 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations▲ 39 points over the trail
  1. +432mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Neil El Aynaoui completes transfer from AS Roma to RB Leipzig
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting