TransferHype
Winter 2027

Samuel Mbangula

—

SV Werder Bremen → Bologna · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Bologna closing in on Samuel Mbangula deal with Werder Bremen
  2. 31 AugReached Agreement
  3. 31 AugReached Medical
  4. 31 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  5. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as agreed

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔴🔵 Samuel Mbangula has agreed to join Bologna from Werder Bremen, here we go! Verbal agreement in place for the winger to return to Italy and join Bologna. This will unlock Rowe’s move to Atalanta. 🔓 https://t.co/ENvvcnHnEu

claims Agreement+14 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗+2

    🔵🔴🇩🇪 Understand Bologna will pay a €2m loan fee plus €12.5m buy option clause to Werder Bremen for Samuel Mbangula. https://t.co/x0GaGolV54

Reported at medical stage

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔴🔵 Samuel Mbangula to Bologna, deal almost done with green light next for medical tests and contract signing. Werder Bremen and Bologna preparing all documents. Next: Jonathan Rowe to Atalanta. https://t.co/OuDWF6PVyV

claims Medical+9 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    itMbangula travelling tomorrow for medical and signing with Bologna

    Mbangula viaggia domattina per visite e firma con il @Bolognafc1909 @SkySport https://t.co/W5dwG4dW5w

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨🔴🔵 EXCL: Bologna are closing in on Samuel Mbangula deal with Werder Bremen. The move can unlock Jonathan Rowe’s deal to Atalanta. ⚫️🔵 https://t.co/73CQVAqHYb

claims Talks+5 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

itMbangula's arrival at Bolognafc1909 is official

.@Bolognafc1909, ufficiale l'arrivo di Mbangula https://t.co/DoYn4sjZjh

claims DoneView on X ↗

Why it read 58% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+14
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+9
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 36%
+5
Fabrizio Romano advancingtrust 0.75, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 22%
+2
Completion probability
58%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: −6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations▼ 11 points over the trail
  1. −62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting