SV Werder Bremen → Bologna F.C. 1909 · Loan · Summer 2026
✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 17d ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
- Rumoured31 Aug
- Talks31 Aug
- Agreement31 Aug
- Medical31 Aug
- Done1 Sept
Catch me up
- 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Bologna closing in on Samuel Mbangula deal with Werder Bremen
- 31 AugReached Agreement
- 31 AugReached Medical
- 31 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
- 1 SeptReached Done
What was actually said
6 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as agreed
Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano1 other post on the same claim
- @FabrizioRomano19d ago ↗+2
🔵🔴🇩🇪 Understand Bologna will pay a €2m loan fee plus €12.5m buy option clause to Werder Bremen for Samuel Mbangula. https://t.co/x0GaGolV54
Reported at medical stage
Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomanoReported as being in talks
Advancingone reportReported as done
Advancingone reportitMbangula's arrival at Bolognafc1909 is official
Why it read 58% before it settled
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+14
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+9
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 36%
+5
FabrizioRomano advancingtrust 0.75, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 22%
+2
Completion probability
58%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −618d ago@DiMarzio: Mbangula's arrival at Bolognafc1909 is official
- −517d agono new post; decay or a rival moving