Olympique Lyonnais → Juventus · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 30% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 31 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Juventus in direct talks with Nico Tagliafico's camp over possible move on Deadline Day; player open to joining
  2. 31 AugJoined by @DiMarzio
  3. 1 SeptCooling@DiMarzio: itTagliafico to Juventus deal also increasingly likely to fall through

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@FabrizioRomano had it first, 2mo ago

🚨🔴⚪️ Atlético Madrid are trying to hijack Juventus move for Nicolás Tagliafico. Negotiations ongoing and approach made as Juve agreed all terms but need Juan Cabal to leave. Atléti, on it as @rubenuria reports. https://t.co/iiUu9ZCwND

claims Talks+15 pointsView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨⚪️⚫️ Juventus have agreed personal terms tonight with Nico Tagliafico. If Juan Cabal leaves Juventus before the Deadline with Atalanta now in active talks, Tagliafico can join next. https://t.co/qlAJdtIwl5

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo ago ↗

    🚨⚪️⚫️ Juventus are in direct talks with Nico Tagliafico’s camp over possible move on Deadline Day. Nico has informed the club that he’d be open to joining Juventus. Deal depends on Cabal exit with Atalanta keen. https://t.co/4tFX6M2GVz

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

itTagliafico to Juventus deal also increasingly likely to fall through

I contatti tra @juventusfc e @Atalanta_BC per Cabal non sono proseguiti, operazione sempre più vicina a sfumare e così anche Tagliafico-Juve @SkySport https://t.co/5VoF6KQb2O

claims Talks−5 pointsView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

itJuventus will move for Tagliafico if Juan Cabal departs

Contatti vivi tra l'@Atalanta_BC e la @JuventusFC per Juan Cabal. Se esce il difensore colombiano i bianconeri chiuderanno per Tagliafico. @SkySport

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 30% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+15
Gianluca Di Marzio coolingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
−5
Gianluca Di Marzio neutralBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−10
Completion probability
30%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: +19 points, after @FabrizioRomano, @DiMarzio31 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations▲ 17 points over the trail
  1. +192mo ago@FabrizioRomano: Juventus have agreed all terms with Nicolás Tagliafico but need Juan Cabal to leave; Atlético Madrid attempting to hijack the move with negotiations ongoing. · @DiMarzio: Tagliafico to Juventus deal also increasingly likely to fall through