Hamburger SV → SC Paderborn 07 · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedchecked against the public record · 2mo ago · source ↗
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    31 Aug
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 EXCL | Rayan Philippe to SC Paderborn – DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Hamburger SV for 25 y/o striker. Loan with an option to buy. Medical and contract signing scheduled for Tuesday. @SkySportDE 🇫🇷 https://t.co/YkKqjuanrk

claims Medical+10 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 38% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+10
Completion probability
38%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting