Southampton → Cagliari · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    31 Aug
  2. Talks
    31 Aug
  3. Agreement
    31 Aug
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    31 Aug

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🔴🔵🇯🇵 Yukinari Sugawara will join Cagliari on loan deal with €5.5m buy option clause from Southampton. Documents exchanged right now. https://t.co/P1aSJgrKXn

claims Done+14 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 38% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+14
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
Completion probability
38%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug1 Sept2 Sept
5 recomputations▼ 6 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting