Elche → Fulham · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    1 Sept
  2. Talks
    1 Sept
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    1 Sept
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 1 Septfirst@MatteMoretto: esFulham in advanced talks to sign David Affengruber from Elche
  2. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  3. 1 SeptReached Done
  4. 1 SeptReached Medical
  5. 1 SeptJoined by @Plettigoal

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

esDavid Affengruber to Fulham is closed.

David Affengruber al Fulham está cerrado. https://t.co/diS2LaNHfJ

claims Done+15 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

esFulham in advanced talks to sign David Affengruber from Elche

El Fulham está en conversaciones avanzadas para fichar a David Affengruber, del Elche.

claims Talks+7 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 David Affengruber to Fulham - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached between 25 y/o centre-back and Fulham. He is now undergoing his medical. As revealed, Affengruber had been planning a move this summer. Elche are set to receive €12m + add-ons. @SkySportDE 🇦🇹 https://t.co/3b0NGGWe7J

claims Medical+3 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 84% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+59
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+15
Matteo Moretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+7
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 36%
+3
Completion probability
84%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept1 Sept2 Sept
3 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting