Brighton → Middlesbrough · Loan · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
No reading before it settled
it was confirmed before the model scored it
  1. Rumoured
    1 Sept
  2. Talks
    1 Sept
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    1 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 1 Septfirst@JacobsBen: Middlesbrough closing in on loan move for Brighton winger Amario Cozier-Duberry
  2. 1 SeptReached Agreement
  3. 1 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

Middlesbrough confirm exclusive story that Amario Cozier-Duberry has joined on loan from Brighton.🤝 https://t.co/63SsSvfrmF https://t.co/Bp3rnwJqKl

claims Done+12 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🚨 Exclusive: Middlesbrough are closing in on a loan move for Brighton winger Amario Cozier-Duberry. Cozier-Duberry will also sign a new contract with Brighton before making the move. With @alex_crook for @talkSPORT https://t.co/8y3Pgonvan

claims Talks+7 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 24% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55
+12
Ben Jacobs advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
+7
Contract news at his clubreported by @JacobsBen — about the player, not this move
−24
Completion probability
24%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting1 Sept1 Sept2 Sept
3 recomputations▼ 3 points over the trail
  1. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting