Rangers F.C. → Beşiktaş J.K. · Winter 2027

Will Nicolas Raskin join Beşiktaş J.K.? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 2 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨⚪️⚫️ EXCLUSIVE: Besiktas reach verbal agreement in principle with Rangers for Nicolas Raskin. Deal now depends on player’s decision but talks underway. 🦅 https://t.co/INHdlI4yan

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+8
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045753 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting4 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting5 Sept: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting6 Sept: −3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept13 Sept6 Nov
1479 recomputations▼ 40 points over the trail
  1. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting