TransferHype
Winter 2027

Leon Bailey

—

Aston Villa → Olympiacos · Permanent · Winter 2027

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
61%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Sept
  2. Talks
    2 Sept
  3. Agreement
    2 Sept
  4. Medical
    2 Sept
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔴⚪️👋🏼 Leon Bailey, set for Olympiacos move. https://t.co/ohqE2rfS3g

claims Talks+19 pointsView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨🔴⚪️ EXCLUSIVE: Olympiacos reach verbal agreement for surprise deal to sign Leon Bailey, here we go! Permanent move from Aston Villa and contract until June 2029. Green light to proceed from #AVFC. Bailey, on his way to Athens now for medical tests. https://t.co/OI0e0jiVeR

claims Medical+11 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 61% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75
+19
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 60%
+11
Completion probability
61%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.