Sunderland → Ajax · Loan · Winter 2027

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
37%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Sept
  2. Talks
    2 Sept
  3. Agreement
    2 Sept
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    2 Sept

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancingone report

🚨🇨🇮 Simon Adingra to Ajax, here we go! Deal signed today after medical on loan with buy option clause. Sunderland to receive over €3m as loan fee plus €16m buy option clause not mandatory. https://t.co/9lCAiiWALS

claims Done+10 pointsView on X ↗

Why it read 36% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.78, 45% faded
+10
Completion probability
36%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045753 Sept: −5 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting3 Sept: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting4 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting5 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept5 Sept7 Sept
20 recomputations▼ 12 points over the trail
  1. −52mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting