Al-Ettifaq FCChelsea F.C. · Free · Winter 2027

It did not happen
last read 20% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    2 Sept
  2. Talks
    2 Sept
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 2 Septfirst@TEAMtalk: Chelsea moving for Georginio Wijnaldum via free agency
  2. 2 SeptDenial@FabrizioRomano: Chelsea will not sign Georginio Wijnaldum
  3. 2 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  4. 2 SeptReached Agreement
  5. 2 SeptAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Chelsea have reached a decision on signing Georginio Wijnaldum as a free agent

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.52counted at 60%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
AggregatorTier 3weighted 0.52counted at 36%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 20% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+24
FabrizioRomano denialBroke ittrust 0.78, 69% faded
−7
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 69% faded, counted at 60%
+2
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 69% faded, counted at 36%
+1
Completion probability
20%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Sept: 15%3 Sept: 21%3 Sept: 19%4 Sept: 19%4 Sept: 19%4 Sept: 19%5 Sept: 20%5 Sept: 20%5 Sept: 18%5 Sept: 19%5 Sept: 18%5 Sept: 18%5 Sept: 18%5 Sept: 18%6 Sept: 19%6 Sept: 19%6 Sept: 19%6 Sept: 19%6 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%7 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 19%8 Sept: 17%8 Sept: 17%8 Sept: 17%8 Sept: 17%8 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%9 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%10 Sept: 17%11 Sept: 17%11 Sept: 17%11 Sept: 20%3 Sept: +6 points, with no new post11 Sept: +3 points, with no new post2 Sept8 Sept11 Sept
122 recomputations 4 points over the trail
  1. +617d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. +39d agono new post; decay or a rival moving