Al-Ettifaq → Chelsea · Free · Winter 2027

It did not happen
last read 20% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    2 Sept
  2. Talks
    2 Sept
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Catch me up

  1. 2 Septfirst@TEAMtalk: Chelsea moving for Georginio Wijnaldum via free agency
  2. 2 SeptDenial@FabrizioRomano: Chelsea will not sign Georginio Wijnaldum
  3. 2 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  4. 2 SeptReached Agreement
  5. 2 SeptAdvancing@TEAMtalk: Chelsea have reached a decision on signing Georginio Wijnaldum as a free agent

What was actually said

3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

🔵❌ Chelsea will not sign Georginio Wijnaldum. Club currently playing down all reports about the Dutch midfielder. https://t.co/bSilxc29Ng

claims Rumoured−7 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🔵🇳🇱❗️ Chelsea have reached a decision on signing Georginio Wijnaldum as a free agent #CFC Full story ⤵️ https://t.co/FcvhkgYrII

claims Agreement+2 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

🔵❗️ Chelsea are moving for Georginio Wijnaldum via free agency #CFC Full details 📎 https://t.co/Au66Ozm8Mt

claims Talks+1 pointView on X ↗

Why it read 20% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+24
Fabrizio Romano denialBroke ittrust 0.78, 69% faded
−7
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 69% faded, counted at 60%
+2
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 69% faded, counted at 36%
+1
Completion probability
20%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045753 Sept: +6 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting11 Sept: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting2 Sept5 Sept11 Sept
122 recomputations▲ 4 points over the trail
  1. +62mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. +32mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting