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Sunderland → Fenerbahçe Istanbul · Winter 2027
Will Chemsdine Talbi join Fenerbahçe Istanbul? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 3 Sep.
4%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
- Rumoured3 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 2 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- Fenerbahçe IstanbulRumouredquiet 2mo ago4%since 3 Sept · 1 post
- since 3 Sept · 1 post
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy 4%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+8
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−4
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
4%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −629d agono new post: we re-read the reporting