TransferHype
Winter 2027

Vincent Sierro

MF

Al-Shabab Football Club → Parma Calcio 1913 · Winter 2027

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 14d ago
37%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 14d agolast moved 13d ago
  1. Rumoured
    3 Sept
  2. Talks
    3 Sept
  3. Agreement
    3 Sept
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    3 Sept

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @DiMarzio

itVincent Sierro joins Parma from Al Shabab

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.45claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio13d ago ↗+2

    itVincent Sierro completes transfer to Parma

    Ora è ufficiale: Vincent Sierro è un nuovo giocatore del @1913parmacalcio https://t.co/1NrbNLh4Gf

Why it read 37% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+28
DiMarzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.45
+7
DiMarzio advancingtrust 0.45, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 60%
+2
Completion probability
37%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045754 Sept: 15%4 Sept: 15%4 Sept: 15%5 Sept: 15%5 Sept: 15%5 Sept: 40%5 Sept: 15%5 Sept: 40%5 Sept: 40%5 Sept: 40%5 Sept: 40%6 Sept: 38%6 Sept: 38%6 Sept: 37%6 Sept: 37%6 Sept: 37%7 Sept: 37%5 Sept: +25 points, with no new post5 Sept: −25 points, with no new post5 Sept: +25 points, with no new post4 Sept5 Sept7 Sept
17 recomputations▲ 22 points over the trail
  1. +2512d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. −2512d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  3. +2512d agono new post; decay or a rival moving