1. FC Union BerlinSS Lazio · Free · Winter 2027

Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 11d ago
58%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 15d agolast moved 11d ago
  1. Rumoured
    4 Sept
  2. Talks
    4 Sept
  3. Agreement
    4 Sept
  4. Medical
    5 Sept
  5. Done
    5 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 4 Septfirst@DiMarzio: itDiogo Leite transfer to Lazio closing, arriving as free agent
  2. 5 SeptReached Medical
  3. 5 SeptJoined by @MatteMoretto, @FabrizioRomano
  4. 5 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio11d agono effect

    itDiogo Leite is officially a new Lazio player

    Adesso è anche ufficiale: Diogo Leite è un nuovo calciatore della Lazio👇🏻 https://t.co/vKHJaWFc0B

  • @DiMarzio11d agono effect

    .@OfficialSSLazio, ecco Diogo Leite: ruolo, caratteristiche e possibile gestione al Fantacalcio https://t.co/zL5Dor0otK

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.64counted at 60%claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

itDiogo Leite transfer to Lazio closing, arriving as free agent

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.45counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 58% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+97
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.78
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−40
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
58%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045755 Sept: 47%5 Sept: 47%5 Sept: 48%5 Sept: 48%5 Sept: 48%5 Sept: 48%5 Sept: 48%5 Sept: 48%6 Sept: 48%6 Sept: 48%6 Sept: 48%6 Sept: 48%6 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%7 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 47%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 46%8 Sept: 58%8 Sept: 58%8 Sept: 58%8 Sept: 58%8 Sept: 58%9 Sept: 58%9 Sept: 58%9 Sept: 58%8 Sept: +12 points, with no new post5 Sept7 Sept9 Sept
68 recomputations 11 points over the trail
  1. +1211d agono new post; decay or a rival moving