1. FC Union Berlin → Lazio · Free · Winter 2027

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 2mo ago
58%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    4 Sept
  2. Talks
    4 Sept
  3. Agreement
    4 Sept
  4. Medical
    5 Sept
  5. Done
    5 Sept

Catch me up

  1. 4 Septfirst@DiMarzio: itDiogo Leite transfer to Lazio closing, arriving as free agent
  2. 5 SeptReached Medical
  3. 5 SeptJoined by @MatteMoretto, @FabrizioRomano
  4. 5 SeptReached Done

What was actually said

5 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🔵⚪️ Lazio have agreed a three year deal with Diogo Leite, as centre back joins after leaving Union Berlin as free agent. The agreement also includes extra year as option. https://t.co/GJ2QLAmBPG

claims Done+1 pointView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    itDiogo Leite is officially a new Lazio player

    Adesso è anche ufficiale: Diogo Leite è un nuovo calciatore della Lazio👇🏻 https://t.co/vKHJaWFc0B

  • @DiMarzio2mo ago ↗

    .@OfficialSSLazio, ecco Diogo Leite: ruolo, caratteristiche e possibile gestione al Fantacalcio https://t.co/zL5Dor0otK

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

Diogo Leite alla Lazio, visite mediche programmate. https://t.co/kepZdiieJZ

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

itDiogo Leite transfer to Lazio closing, arriving as free agent

.@OfficialSSLazio, in chiusura l'arrivo dello svincolato Diogo Leite https://t.co/KeQrGVsotR

claims AgreementView on X ↗

Why it read 58% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+97
Fabrizio Romano advancingBroke ittrust 0.78
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−40
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
58%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045758 Sept: +12 points, after @DiMarzio, @DiMarzio5 Sept6 Sept9 Sept
68 recomputations▲ 11 points over the trail
  1. +122mo ago@DiMarzio: Diogo Leite is officially a new Lazio player · @DiMarzio: Diogo Leite joins Lazio