Chelsea F.C.Arsenal · Winter 2027

1%
Unlikely
first reported 11d agolast moved 11d ago
  1. Rumoured
    5 Sept
  2. Talks
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Why 1%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Signed a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−9
Signed a new contractreported by @JacobsBen — about the player, not this move
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
1%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045755 Sept: 14%5 Sept: 14%5 Sept: 13%5 Sept: 13%5 Sept: 13%5 Sept: 13%5 Sept: 13%5 Sept: 13%6 Sept: 13%6 Sept: 13%6 Sept: 13%6 Sept: 13%6 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%7 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%8 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%9 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%10 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 13%11 Sept: 1%11 Sept: 1%11 Sept: 1%11 Sept: 1%11 Sept: 1%11 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%12 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%13 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%14 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%15 Sept: 1%11 Sept: −12 points, with no new post5 Sept11 Sept15 Sept
236 recomputations 12 points over the trail
  1. 124d agono new post; decay or a rival moving