FeyenoordAl Ittihad FC · Winter 2027

23%
Possible
first reported 11d agolast moved 11d ago
  1. Rumoured
    5 Sept
  2. Talks
    5 Sept
  3. Agreement
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Why 23%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+22
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.81, 79% faded
+3
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
Completion probability
23%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045755 Sept: 47%5 Sept: 47%5 Sept: 49%5 Sept: 47%5 Sept: 49%5 Sept: 49%5 Sept: 49%5 Sept: 49%6 Sept: 46%6 Sept: 46%6 Sept: 46%6 Sept: 45%6 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 45%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 44%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 43%7 Sept: 38%7 Sept: 38%7 Sept: 38%7 Sept: 38%7 Sept: 38%8 Sept: 38%8 Sept: 38%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 37%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 36%8 Sept: 35%8 Sept: 35%8 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 35%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 34%9 Sept: 33%9 Sept: 33%9 Sept: 33%9 Sept: 33%9 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 33%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 32%10 Sept: 31%10 Sept: 31%10 Sept: 31%10 Sept: 31%10 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 31%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%11 Sept: 30%12 Sept: 30%12 Sept: 30%12 Sept: 30%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 29%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%12 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 28%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%13 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 27%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%14 Sept: 26%15 Sept: 26%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 25%15 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%16 Sept: 24%17 Sept: 23%6 Sept: −3 points, with no new post7 Sept: −5 points, with no new post5 Sept11 Sept17 Sept
261 recomputations 24 points over the trail
  1. 59d agono new post; decay or a rival moving
  2. 310d agono new post; decay or a rival moving