Newcastle → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Lewis Hall join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 5%, still a rumour, on 7 posts since 7 Sep.

5%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 15d ago
  1. Rumoured
    8 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

7 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral4 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

🔴 Lewis Hall willing to leave Newcastle for Man Utd in 2027, according to a report #MUFC #NUFC https://t.co/CXnC5bYY2w

claims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk22d ago ↗

    🔴 Newcastle set hefty price tag on Lewis Hall amid Man Utd interest #NUFC #MUFC https://t.co/In7uRQvY5A

  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    Man Utd still believe they can land Lewis Hall, despite his recent Newcastle deal, with a report revealing INEOS’ plans for a triple signing 👀 #MUFC https://t.co/zYGGRkptWf

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    🔴 Lewis Hall signs new Newcastle contract, but Man Utd STILL interested, sources tell TEAMtalk #MUFC #NUFC https://t.co/sQqvmPa7vP

Denied outright

Denial2 reports, led by @MirrorFootball

Man Utd have already seen their Lewis Hall plans fall flat ❌ https://t.co/EsZoVx0Mjz https://t.co/9w2yG9Tmt2

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago ↗

    🗣️ "I’m in love with what I’ve seen so far from him" Matthias Jaissle is delighted with Lewis Hall, who has snubbed Man Utd to stay with Newcastle https://t.co/nvclwrCOqO https://t.co/WIzBF1UrjC

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨 Lewis Hall has reportedly chosen between joining Man Utd or staying at Newcastle ⤵️ #MUFC #NUFC https://t.co/vRGOA66Rjg

claims TalksView on X ↗

Why 5%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Signed a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−6
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
5%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045758 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting8 Sept: +10 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting9 Sept: −10 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting10 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting11 Sept: −4 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting7 Sept12 Sept5 Nov
1440 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. +102mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  2. −102mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  3. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  4. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. −42mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting